Economic stresses drive social unrest in LatAm

No comments

Some countries have seen as much as a tripling in social unrest on the back of increasing inflation

The number of protests and riots in Latin America increased in the last year from 3,405 to 3,617, shows new analysis by Chaucer.

The rise in protests in the region had been increasingly driven by inflation, adding to the economic and social stresses initially caused by COVID.

Colombia and Argentina experienced the largest jumps in social unrest in the region. Colombia saw more than a tripling of social unrest events in 2021-22, jumping from 144 to 660 - a 358% increase.

Argentina witnessed a 37% spike in social unrest brought about by economic stress. The overall number of riots in Argentina increase from 140 to 192.

These countries have been hit hard by inflation, which has caused Governments to hike interest rates to compensate. Interest rates in Colombia are up from 2% to 7.5% in the past year and rates in Argentina surged from 20% to 50% in the past two years.

Latin America was also one of the regions hardest hit by the COVID pandemic

According to the OECD, Latin America struggled to contain contamination levels due to the prevalence of an informal economy, in which those who don’t work, don’t get paid. This has been exacerbated by the limitations of countries’ healthcare infrastructure and poor social protection systems.

Harriet Sharp, head of Political Violence & Crisis Management at Chaucer said: “As COVID-19 shut down large sections of the region’s economy, Latin American countries have seen an increase in social unrest as incomes have plummeted and healthcare systems have been put under strain.”

“With recovery now hampered by global inflation and supply chain uncertainty, discontent in the region looks likely to grow for the foreseeable future.”

Inflation-led unrest

The inflation-led growth in unrest in the region has led to damages to property caused by protest. Unfortunately for some businesses, their insurance policy may exclude this kind of damage from general insurance policies.

Companies are increasingly turning to specialist SRCC (Strikes, Riot and Civil Commotion) cover, which explicitly insures against damage from riots and protests. Businesses in higher-risk locations can use SRCC insurance to plug gaps in their existing cover relating to social unrest.

Sharp added: “With many Latin American countries now facing the prospect of inflation causing a cost-of-living crisis, corporates must think carefully about protecting themselves from a likely increase in damage caused by social unrest.”