The possibility that Israel launches a pre-emptive strike against Iran has risen sharply recently, according to experts

War risks on the rise

The risk of a war breaking out between Iran and Israel is rising, according to specialist intelligence company Exclusive Analysis (EA).

EA thinks the probability of an Israeli strike against two or three Iranian nuclear facilities has risen from about 50% in April to 60% from September.

Reasons that the company picked out for the heightened risk include an “increased US preparedness”.

“This is signified by the current presence of enhanced ballistic missile defence capability,” said EA. US forces have also upgraded their military capabilities in the region, making it possible for them to penetrate the underground defences of Iran’s uranium enrichment plant in Fordow.

The analysts alse expect it likely that Iran fails to engage in substantive negotiations with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Iran has formally ceased to cooperate with the IAEA, supposedly on the grounds that its “reporting was distorted by its subservience to Iran’s enemies”.

Israel appears to be preparing itself for unrest, as an increased focus on civil defence training shows, added EA.